Cardoso: Nigeria’s Economic Outlook Positive
Olayemi Cardoso, the Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), has again reaffirmed the Bank’s commitment to implementing policies that foster sustainable growth in the financial markets while ensuring overall economic stability.
He made the disclosure during his presentation of the 2024 first half-year review of the Bank’s activities to the Senate Committee on Banking, Insurance, and Other Financial Institutions at the National Assembly on Friday.
In his briefing, he outlined the CBN’s mandate and provided an in-depth analysis of Nigeria’s economic performance, recent policy measures, and the outlook for the remainder of the year 2024.
He recalled that since assuming duty in October 2023, the Bank’s management had concentrated on stabilising the economy, restoring confidence in financial markets, and establishing a foundation for sustainable growth.
Some key focus areas highlighted included curbing inflation, stabilising the exchange rate, enhancing financial sector supervision, promoting financial inclusion, and increasing transparency in monetary policy decisions.
Speaking on the macroeconomic performance since he assumed office, Cardoso highlighted the resilience of the Nigerian economy in the first half of 2024, reporting a growth rate of 2.98 per cent in the first quarter, up from 2.31 per cent during the same period last year.
He emphasised that the Services sector was the main economic driver, contributing 58.04 per cent to GDP with a growth rate of 4.32 per cent.
He noted that the Industrial sector also showed improvement, achieving a growth rate of 2.19 per cent.
Addressing the persistent inflationary pressures, with headline inflation rising from 29.90 per cent in January to 34.19 per cent in June 2024, he noted that the pace of monthly increases had moderated, suggesting the effectiveness of the Bank’s anti-inflationary measures.
He also highlighted the significant narrowing of the spread between official and BDC rates, indicating successful price discovery and reduced arbitrage opportunities.
Additionally, he pointed out the notable increase in external reserves, largely attributed to receipts from crude oil-related taxes and third-party payments.
Highlighting the banking sector’s achievements, Cardoso reported improvements in key indicators such as capital adequacy, liquidity, and non-performing loan ratios.
He noted that the capital adequacy ratio remained strong at 12.2 per cent adding that the industry liquidity ratio increased to 46.2 per cent, and the non-performing loan ratio fell to 3.8 per cent, reflecting enhanced liquid assets and better risk asset quality.
He further outlined key policy measures the Bank had implemented to tackle domestic macroeconomic challenges, including raising the policy rate to 26.25 per cent, increasing Cash Reserve Ratios, normalising Open Market Operations, and adopting Inflation Targeting as a new monetary policy framework.
He also highlighted the reforms in the foreign exchange market, which resulted in a convergence of official and Bureau de Change rates, promoting transparency and reducing market distortions.
Governor Cardoso emphasised that the ongoing recapitalisation efforts in the banking sector are focused on enhancing financial stability and driving progress toward reaching a $1tn economy by 2030.
He expressed optimism about Nigeria’s economic prospects despite acknowledging ongoing challenges. He emphasised the importance of continued cooperation from all stakeholders in overcoming these challenges and achieving robust and inclusive growth.
In his opening remarks, Senator Adetokunbo Abiru, Chairman of the Senate Committee on Banking and Other Financial Institutions, lauded the CBN Governor and his team for their efforts to stabilise the economy since taking office.
